Compare a shortlist
Make the C / VC decision a transparent comparison.
Shortlist two to four confirmed players, then write down their expected batting access, bowling involvement, fielding role and the conditions that could influence those jobs. This prevents a multiplier choice from becoming a reflex based on recent headlines or name recognition. A player does not need to be risk-free to be a good selection; the risk simply needs to be understood.
Consider the difference between a dependable route and a high-impact route. A top-order batter may have repeated access to the game, while a death bowler may have fewer events but a sharper wicket path. An all-rounder can offer breadth when both roles are active. Compare these profiles against the contest size rather than calling any one of them universally safe.
Once the lineup is announced, update only what changed. If a player moves down the order or loses a bowling role, revisit the shortlist. If the original role is confirmed, deadline pressure is not a reason to replace it.